Temporal Aggregation of Random Walk Processes and Implications for Asset Prices

نویسندگان

  • Yamin Ahmad
  • Ivan Paya
  • Yamin S Ahmad
چکیده

This paper examines the impact of time averaging and interval sampling data assuming that the data generating process for a given series follows a random walk with uncorrelated increments. We provide expressions for the corresponding variances, and covariances, for both the levels and differences of the aggregated series, demonstrating how the degree of temporal aggregation impacts these particular properties. Moreover, we analytically derive any differences that arise between the aggregated series and its disaggregated counterpart, and show that they can be decomposed into a distortionary and small sample effect. We also provide exact expressions for the variance and sharpe ratios, and correlation coeffi cients for any level of aggregation. We discuss our results in the context of asset prices, which have utilized these extensively. JEL Classification: F47 C15 C32

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Asymmetric dynamics in REIT prices: Further evidence based on quantile regression analysis

a r t i c l e i n f o This study examines whether mean reversion in REIT prices presents an asymmetric behavior across various quantiles. Distinguished from previous literature that applied the traditional linear unit-root test, a state-of-the-art quantile unit-root test is employed to identify financial asset predictability in five real estate investment trust (REIT) classifications. Our empir...

متن کامل

Journal of Housing Economics

This paper analyzes the temporal pattern of prices for single-family housing. We estimate models of house price dynamics using a repeat sales framework, and we use the results to test for a random walk in asset prices. For eight large samples of housing transactions, representing essentially all house sales in Sweden during a 12-year period, we reject the hypothesis that house prices follow a r...

متن کامل

Private Information and Sunspots in Sequential Asset Markets∗

We study a model where some agents have private information about risky asset returns and trade to obtain capital gains, while others acquire the risky asset and hold it to maturity, forming expectations of returns based on market prices. We show that under such a structure, in addition to fully revealing rational expectations equilibria, there exists a continuum of equilibrium prices consisten...

متن کامل

Temporal Risk Aversion and Asset Prices

Agents with standard, time-separable preferences do not care about the temporal distribution of risk. This is a strong assumption. For example, it seems plausible that a consumer may …nd persistent shocks to consumption less desirable than uncorrelated ‡uctuations. Such a consumer is said to exhibit temporal risk aversion. This paper examines the implications of temporal risk aversion for asset...

متن کامل

Stock Market Prices Do Not Follow Random Walks: Evidence from a Simple Specific

In this article we test the random walk hypothesis for weekly stock market returns by comparing variance estimators derived from data sampled at different frequencies. The random walk model is strongly rejected for the entire sample period (19621985) and for all subperiod for a variety of aggregate returns indexes and size-sorted portofolios. Although the rejections are due largely to the behav...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

عنوان ژورنال:

دوره   شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2014